STATISTICAL ANALYSES OF
POLYCHLORINATED BIPHENYL (PCB) CONCENTRATIONS
IN FISH SAMPLES COLLECTED NEAR THE
NEAL'S LANDFILL SITE
MONROE COUNTY, INDIANA
October 29, 2003
Tetra Tech EM Inc. for the EPA
1.0 INTRODUCT10N
Tetra Tech EM Inc. (Tetra Tech) has prepared this statistical analysis report for the U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA) in partial fulfillment of the s' .ement of work for Response Action Contract
(RAC) No. 68-W6-0037 for Region 6, Work Assignment No. 943-RSBD-0539. The primary objective of
the report is to evaluate the possible impact of the Neal's Landfill site in Monroe County, Indiana, on
polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB) concentrations in fish samples collected from streams near the landfill.
The fish samples evaluated in this report were collected and analyzed by EPA and by Viacom, Inc.
(Viacom), the potentially responsible party for the site, during four sampling events that occurred between
May 1998 and May 2003.
This statistical analysis report consists of six sections, including this introduction. Section 2.0 contains
site background information for Neal's Landfill and the four fish sampling events. Section 3.0 provides a
more detailed discussion of the objectives of the statistical analyses. Section 4.0 discusses the data
available for the analysis and the statistical methods used to analyze the data. Section 5.0 presents and
discusses the results of the statistical analyses, and Section 6.0 summarizes the conclusions and presents
recommendations for future fish sampling events. References used to prepare this report are listed after
Section 6.0. Appendix A presents complete PCB concentration results for all fish samples collected
during the four sampling events, and Appendix B presents the results for all statistical analyses.
2.0 NEAL'S LANDFILL SITE BACKGROUND
This section briefly summarizes the site's history and describes the four fish sampling events that
generated the data analyzed in this report. Much of the site background information presented in this
section was developed from Tetra Tech's revised current status report for the Neal's Landfill site (Tetra
Tech 2002).
2.1 SITE HISTORY
The Neal's Landfill site is an inactive waste disposal site located about 4.5 miles west of Bloomington in
Monroe County, Indiana. The site occupies about 18 acres and was used as an industrial and municipal
waste landfill from 1950 to 1972. Disposal practices at the site included open burning of discarded
materials. In 1966 and 1967, numerous capacitors filled with PCB-containing oil generated by
Westinghouse Electric Corporation (Westinghouse, later known as CBS Corporation [CBS] and now
known as Viacom) and PCB-contaminated rags, sawdust, and filter clay were disposed of at the landfill
(EPA 1998).
The site was placed on the National Priorities List in October 1981. In 1985, EPA, the State of Indiana,
Monroe County, the City of Bloomington, and Westinghouse (now Viacom) signed a consent decree.
Under the terms of the consent decree, Viacom is to remediate six sites in the Bloomington area
containing PCBs. Neal's Landfill is one of the six sites covered by the consent decree. In 1987, a
number of interim measures were completed at the site, including removal of capacitors from the ground
surface; removal of a total of 4,500 linear feet of contaminate.] sediment from two surface water bodiesÄ
Conard's Branch (4,267 linear feet) and Richland Creek (233 linear feet); and installation of a soil cap
over primary landfill areas. The interim measures also included construction of a spring treatment facility
(STF), which began operation in 1990. The purpose of the STF is to collect and treat spring flow of up to
I cubic foot per second (cfs). This flow is collected in a lined basin and travels by gravity to the STF,
which consists of a clarifier, filters, and an activated carbon water treatment system that remove PCBs.
The STF is designed to achieve an effluent PCB concentration of I part per billion (ppb). Spring flows
exceeding I cfs overflow the lined basin and discharge directly to Conard's Branch.
Under the consent decree, Viacom was scheduled to excavate soil overlying the site and incinerate the
soil in a municipal waste facility that Viacom was to build. However, remedial actions (RA) other than
soil incineration had to be considered when the Indiana State Legislature passed a law in 1993 intended to
block implementation of the incineration remedy.
In March and April 1998, EPA and Viacom conducted field ins estigations at the site. The objectives of
these investigations were to characterize the landfill waste and identify PCB hot spots for removal. A
total of 104 borings were drilled through landfill materials at approximately 100-foot spacings. Data from
the investigations, which revealed the presence of PCB hot spots throughout the landfill at concentrations
exceeding 500 parts per million (ppm), were used to evaluate RA alternatives by Viacom and government
parties. The selected alternative included excavation of materials containing PCBs at concentrations
exceeding 500 ppm and disposal of the materials at an off-site, Toxic Substances Control Act (TSCA)-
permitted landfill. Materials containing PCBs at concentrations less than 500 ppm were to be
consolidated on site and covered with a Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) Subtitle C
cap.
In April 1999, Viacom and its RA contractors began implementing the selected source removal RA under
the oversight of EPA, the State of Indiana, and Monroe County. By November 1999, Viacom had
completed material excavation, off-site disposal of material, waste consolidation, and construction of the
RCRA Subtitle C cap.
2.2 FISH SAMPLING EVENTS
Between May 1998 and May 2003, four separate fish sampling events were conducted near Neal's
Landfill. Viacom collected fish samples in May 1998, November 2002, and May 2003. U.S. EPA
collected fish samples in August 2001. Fish sampling events focused on two surface water bodies-
Conard's Branch and Richland Creek. Conard's Branch forms from subterranean drainage from springs
located just northwest of the landfill area. Conard's Branch flows northwest and discharges to Richland
Creek approximately 3,000 feet northwest of the site. Richland Creek flows west, then southwest. from
Neal's Landfill.
Each fish sampling event is described briefly below. The first sampling event in May 1998 was
conducted before Viacom started the source removal RA at Neal's Landfill. For subsequent statistical
analyses, this event is defined as a "pre-remediation" sampling event. The remaining three sampling
events were conducted after the 1999 RA and are defined as "post-remediation" sampling events.
Appendix A lists all fish samples collected during these sampling events.
May 1998. During the May 1998 sampling event, Viacom collected whole fish and fillet samples from
Conard's Branch (0.5 mile downstream of Neal's Landfill) and from two locations in Richland Creek (1.0
and 5.5 miles downstream). Nine types of fish were collected, but for reasons discussed in Section 4.0
below, only data for Creek Chub are usable for statistical analyses.
August 2001. EPA collected whole fish and fillet samples during the August 2001 sampling event.
Whole fish samples were collected from Conard's Branch (0.5 mile downstream) and from five locations
in Richland Creek (1.0, 3.0, 12.7, 21.8, and 34.5 miles downstream). Fillet samples were also collected at
the 12.7-, 21.8-, and 34.5-mile downstream locations in Richland Creek. Nine types of fish were
collected, but for reasons discussed in Section 4.0 below, only data for Creek Chub, Longear Sunfish, and
White Sucker are usable for statistical analyses. [Note: The Indiana Department of Environmental
Management (IDEM) collected several fish samples in conjunction with EPA's August 2001 sampling
event. The IDEM samples were composited, and one PCB concentration result was reported for all fish
of a particular type collected at each location. The IDEM results cannot be used in statisitical analyses
and are not discussed further in this report.]
November 2002. Viacom collected whole fish samples from three locations and fillet samples from one
location during the November 2002 sampling event. Whole fish samples were collected from Conard s
Branch (0.5 mile downstream), from Richland Creek (1.0 mile downstream), and from a location in
Richland Creek upstream of its confluence with Conard's Branch. Fillet samples were collected only at
the downstream Richland Creek location. Three types of fish were collected (Creek Chub, Longear
Sunfish, and White Sucker), and data for all three types have been used in statistical analyses.
May 2003. During the May 2003 fish sampling event, Viacom collected whole fish and fillet samples
from three locations-Conard's Branch (0.5 mile downstream) and Richland Creek (1.0 and 3.0 miles
downstream. Six types of fish were collected, and for reasons discussed in Section 4.0 below, data for
three fish types (Creek Chub, Longear Sunfish, and White Sucker) were used in statistical analyses.
3.0 OBJECTIVES
The primary objective of the statistical analyses presented in this report is to determine whether there are
any significant trends (upward or downward) in PCB concentrations for fish samples collected near
Neal's Landfill. The 1999 remedial actions, together with ongoing operation of the STF, are expected to
gradually reduce the mass of PCBs discharged to Conard's Branch and Richland Creek. If these
measures are effective in reducing PCB discharges, PCB concentrations in fish tissue should decline over
time. Specifically, data from the May 1998 sampling event (pre-remediatiG~.) can be compel-. ~ with data
from the post-remediation sampling events to determine whether PCB concentrations changed following
the 1999 remedial action. Similarly, data for the post-remediation sampling events (August 2001 through
May 2003) can be compared to determine whether any significant changes in PCB concentrations are
occurring following the completion of the 1999 remedial actions.
A secondary objective of this report is to develop recommendations for future fish sampling events. This
report presents a complete inventory of current fish sample results in terms of sampling event date,
sampling location, fish type, number of fish collected, and the type of PCB results reported. This
information along with the results of the statistical comparisons that can be made with the data currently
available, can be used as the basis for recommendations concerning fish types and sampling locations for
future sampling events.
4.0 AVAILABLE AND STATISTICAL METHODS
Although over 200 fish samples were collected and analyzed during the four sampling events described in
Section 2.2, not all of the sample results can be analyze ~ statistically. First. PCB analytical results must
be comparable. Dunng the four PCB sampling events, two different analytical methods were used. and
PCB concentrations measured by one method cannot be directly compared with PCB concentrations
measured by the other method. Second, statistical analysis of the data for any sampling location is
possible only if a sufficient number of comparable data points are available. Generally. at least three
samples of a particular type of fish (analyzed by the same method) must be available for two or more
sampling events. Finally, the statistical methods used must be appropriate for the type of data available
for analysis. Section 4.1 briefly describes the types of available PCB results (Aroclors and congeners);
Section 4.2 provides a complete inventory of fish sample results organized by sampling event, sampling
location, and fish type; and Section 4.3 outlines the statistical methods Tetra Tech has used to analyze the
data.
4.1 PCB ANALYTICAL METHODS AND RESULTS
As noted above, two different methods have been used to analyze PCB concentrations in fish samples
collected near Neal s Landfill. For the first three sampling events, PCB concentrations for all samples
~ ere measured by gas chromatography (GC) and reported as Aroclors. Aroclors are commercial mixtures
of PCBs characterized by the percentage of chlorine in the mixture. Variations of the GC method have
been in use for over 25 years, and most historical PCB data for Neal's Landfill are reported as Aroclors.
In this method, the GC instrument produces a series of peaks indicating the instrument's response to the
Aroclor mixture present in the sample. The analyst selects a number of peaks that \vill be used to
detemmine the Aroclor concentration, compares the sample results to the peak heights and pattern for a
standard Aroclor mixture used to calibrate the GC~ and then uses this comparison to detemmine the
Aroclor concentration in the sample.
For the November 2002 sampling event, Viacom reported two sets of Aroclor results original results
using four peaks to determine the concentration and revised results using five peaks to detemmine the
concentration. In this report, statistical analyses are conducted using both sets of results for the
November 2002 samples. The temms "original 4-peak" results and "revised 5-peak" results are used to
distinguish bets` een the two sets of results.
For some of the samples from the third sampling event (November 2002) and all of the samples from the
fourth sampling event (May 2003), PCB concentrations were measured by high resolution GC/'mass
spectrometry (MS) and reported as congeners. PCBs consist of a group of 209 individual chemicals
called congeners, and the GC/MS method reports results for each individual congener. Congener results
can be reported in two ways. First, results of all individual congeners can be summed and reported as a
total PCB congener concentration. Second, the results for 13 toxic PCB congeners (as identified by the
World Health Organization) can be combined to produce a "toxicity equivalent" (TEQ) concentration. At
the present time, TEQ concentrations are available for both the November 2002 and May 2003 sampling
events, but Viacom has reported total PCB congener results only for the May 2003 sampling event.
Currently there are no accepted methods to convert individual PCB congener or TEQ results into Aroclor
results and visa versa. Statistical analyses can be conducted only when PCB results are reported in the
same format. Table 1 summarizes the types of PCB results reported to date for whole fish and fillet
samples for the four sampling events. Statistical comparisons are possible for data within each cell in
Table 1, but data in one cell cannot be statistically compared to data in another cell.
4.2 INVENTORY OF FISH SAMPLE RESULTS
Table 2, table 3, and table 4 summarize the types of fish samples collected during the four sampling events at
Neal's Landfill. The tables are organized by sampling location and sampling event date. For each
location and sampling event, the tables list the types of fish collected and the numbers of samples for each
fish type. The final column of the tables indicates whether the data are sufficient data for statistical
analysis and the types of analyses that can be conducted. Statistical analyses are discussed further in
Section 4.3.
Table 2 presents the available data for whole fish samples analyzed for total PCB Aroclor concentrations,
and Table 3 presents similar results for fillet samples. As the tables indicate, much of the data cannot
currently be used in statistical comparisons. For example, Crayfish were collected at the Richland Creek
l-mile downstream location during the May 1998 pre-remediation sampling event, but not collected
during the August 2001 and November 2002 post-remediation sampling events. Similarly, White Sucker
fillet samples were collected at this location in both the May 1998 and November 2002 sampling events,
but the two samples collected in May 1998 is below the minimum of three samples needed for statistical
analysis.
Table 4 presents the available data for whole fish samples analyzed for TEQ concentrations. As noted in
Table 1, TEQ concentrations are available tor some of the November 2002 results and all of the Mav
2003 results. Statistical analyses can be completed for most of the samples presented in Table 1.
However. Crayfish and Shorthead Redhorse samples were not collected during the November 2002
sampling event.
Summary tables have not been prepared for whole fish and fillet results reported as total PCB congeners
or for fillet results reported as TEQ concentrations. In each of these cases, data are available only for one
sampling event, and no statistical comparisons are possible.
4.3 STATISTICAL METHODS
Based on the fish sample PCB results available for Neal's Landfill (Tables 2, 3, 4). three to pes of
statistical comparisons can be made:
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Changes in fish PCB concentrations from the pre-remediation period to the post-remediation period. These changes can be evaluated by comparing the results for the
May 1998 pre-remediation sampling event with the results from one or more post-remediation sampling events. These comparisons help answer the following question:
"Are fish PCB concentrations lower after remediation than before remediation?"
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Changes in fish PCB concentrations during the post-remediation period. These changes can be evaluated by (1) comparing the August 2001 and November 2002 results (Table 2)
and (2) comparing the November 2002 and May 2003 TEQ results (Table 1). These
comparisons help answer the following question: "Are fish PCB concentrations changing
over time after remediation?"
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Trends in fish PCB concentrations over time. Trends can be evaluated when comparable
data are available for three or more sampling periods at a particular sampling location.
The results of these analyses can be used to answer the following questions: ' Are fish
PCB concentrations changing over the time period being evaluated?" and ''How quickly
are the concentrations changing?"
The first two comparisons mentioned above (pre-remediation results vs. post-remediation results and
post-remediation results vs. post-remediation results) each involve two different groups of data. In
statistical terminology, a group of data is referred to as a "sample," and the types of statistical methods
used to evaluate differences between the groups are called "two-sample" methods. The third statistical
comparison requires looking at three or more groups of data and requires a different statistical method
called a trend analysis. The following sections briefly describe the specific methods used to conduct both
two-sample analyses and trend analyses.
4.3.1 Two-Sample Statistical Analyses
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Two-sample analyses were conducted only when at least three data points were available
for each of the two sampling events analyzed.
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Two-sample analyses were conducted using Student's two-sample l-test. The Statistic
program produces two t-statistics for this test. The appropriate t-statistic depends on
whether data from both sampling events have equal or unequal variances. This
determination was made using the F-test results included in the Statistix7 t-test output.
Section 4.5 of EPA QA/G-9 (EPA 2000) describes the use of the F-test for this purpose.
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In one comparison, a nonparametric test (the Wilcoxon Rank Sum [WRS] test) was used
to conduct the two-sample analysis. A critical assumption underlying the t-test is that the
data being evaluated follow a normal (or bell-shaped) distribution. The WRS test vvas
used as a supplemental statistical method when the data from one or both sampling events
did not follow a normal distribution, as determined by the Shapiro-Wilk test for
normality. The WRS test and the Shapiro-Wilk test are described in Sections 3.3 and 4.2
respectively, of EPA QA G-9 (EPA 2000).
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For all analyses, a probability value (p-value) of 0.05 was used to determine statistical
significance - probability values (p-values) less than or equal to 0.05 were considered
statistically significant, while p-values above 0.05 were not considered significant.
Student's t-test can be run as either a one-tailed test or as a two-tailed test. Tetra Tech used the two-tailed
alternative for all statistical analysis conducted by l-test. The two-tailed test is used to determine whether
fish PCB concentrations from two sampling events are different, without making any assumptions about
w hether the concentrations are increasing or decreasing over time. The two-tailed test is more
conservative than the one-tailed test-a larger difference between PCB concentrations for the two
sampling events is needed to achieve statistical significance. A one-tailed test is appropriate for
evaluating whether fish tissue PCB concentrations have changed in only one direction-for example,
whether concentrations have decreased from an earlier sampling event to a later sampling event. The
one-tailed test might seem appropriate for evaluating data for Neal's Landfill because fish tissue PCB
concentrations are expected to decrease over time if the completed and ongoing remedial measures are
effective. However, increasing PCB concentrations would be of obvious concern, and some increases
were observed in comparing the November 2002 and May 2003 TEQ results.
Trend Analyses
Tetra Tech conducted all trend analyses following the methods described in Section 4.3 of EPA QA/G-9
(EPA 2000). These methods are described in more detail in Statistical Methods for Environmental
Pollution Monitoring (Gilbert 1987). Tetra Tech adhered to the following general guidelines for all trend
analyses:
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Trend analyses were conducted only when data were available for three or more sampling
events, at least three data points were available for each sampling event, and the results of
two-sample analyses involving the sampling events demonstrated statistically significant
changes in PCB concentrations.
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Trend analyses were conducted using the nonparametric Mann-Kendall (M-K) test. This
test can be used to evaluate whether an upward or downward trend in fish PCB
concentrations exists over the sampling events evaluated. Specifically, Tetra Tech used a
variation of the M-K test that evaluates multiple data points per sampling event. This
variation is described in Section 4.3.4.2 of EPA QA/G-9 (EPA 2000) and in Section
16.4.3 of Gilbert (1987). Dr. John Warren of U.S. EPA's Quality Staff confirmed that
this method is appropriate for evaluating fish PCB results for Neal's Landfill.
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If the M-K test indicated that a statistically significant trend existed, Sen's Slope
Estimator, another nonparametric test, was used to estimate the magnitude of the trend.
Sen's Slope Estimator can provide an estimate of the changes in fish PCB concentrations
in units of milligrams of PCBs per kilogram of fish tissue per year. Sen's Slope
Estimator is further described in Section 41.3.1 of EPA QA/G-9 (EPA 2000) and in
Section 16.5 of Gilbert (1987).
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For the M-K test, a p-value of 0.05 was used to determine statistical significance-p-
values less than or equal to 0.05 were considered statistically significant, while p-values
above 0.05 were not considered significant.
5.0 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
Fish samples have been collected at seven locations ranging from 0.5 to 34.5 miles downstream of Neal's
Landfill. However, based on the factors outlined in Sections 4.1 and 4.2, statistical analyses are limited to
two locations that contain a sufficient amount of comparable dataÄConard's Branch (0.5 miles
downstream) and Richland Creek ( 1.0 mile downstream). All statistical analyses involve whole fish
sample results; although fillet samples have been collected. the amount of data at ailable is not sufficient
for statistical analyses. This section presents the results for (1) two-sample statistical analyses of pre-
remediation results vs. post-remediation results; (2) two-sample statistical analyses of post-remediation
results vs. post-remediation results; and (I) trend analyses. Complete results for these statistical analyses
are presented in Appendices B-l, B-2, and B-3, respectively.
5.1 PRE-REMEDIATION VS. POST-REMEDIATION RESULTS
Table 5 summarizes the results of pre-remediation vs. post-remediation statistical analyses. These
analyses are limited to Creek Chub samples collected at Conard's Branch (0.5 mile downstream and
Richland Creek (1.0 mile downstream). For Conard's Branch, the sampling location closest to Neal's
Landfill, there was a statistically significant decrease in Creek Chub PCB concentrations when the pre-
remediation samples (May 1998) were compared to the post-remediation samples (August 2001 and
November 2002 combined). The average whole fish PCB concentration decreased from 14.1 parts per
million (ppm) to 5.2 ppm (using the original 4-peak November 2002 results) or 4.6 ppm (using the
revised 5-peak November 2002 results).
At the Richland Creek location 1.0 mile downstream, Creek Chub PCB concentrations also decreased
between the pre-remediation samples and the post-remediation samples, but this decrease was small and
not statistically significant. The average whole fish PCB concentration decreased from 0.43 ppm to 0.33
ppm (using the original 4-peak November 2002 results) or 0.26 ppm (using the revised 5-peak Noverr.be.
2002 results).
For both the pre-remediation and post-remediation samples, average Creek Chub PCB concentrations
were much higher in samples collected at Conard's Branch than in samples collected at Richland Creek.
For pre-remediation samples, average concentrations were about 30 times higher; for post-remediation
samples, average concentrations were about 15 times higher. These results suggest that the impact of
continuing PCB discharges from Neal's Landfill is significant near the landfill, but decreases rapidly as
downstream distance increases. Data for additional fish types and downstream sampling locations would
be needed to confirm this observation.
5.2 POST-REMEDIATION VS. POST-REMEDIATION RESULTS
Table 6 summarizes the results of post-remediation vs. post-remediation statistical analyses. These
analyses cover two sampling locations, Conard's Branch (0.5 mile downstream and Richland Creek
(1.0 mile downstream), and three fish types, Creek Chub, Longear Sunfish. and White Sucker. PCB
Aroclor results are available for post-remediation comparisons of fish samples collected in August 2001
and November 2002. PCB congener TEQ results are available for post-remediation comparisons of fish
samples collected in November 2002 and May 2003.
PCB Aroclor concentrations decreased slightly between the August 2001 and November 2002 samples.
but none of the decreases were statistically significant. Average PCB concentrations in Creek Chub
samples collected at Conard's Branch decreased from 6.2 ppm to 4.9 ppm (or 4. I ppm using the revised
--peak results). Average PCB concentrations in Longear Surfish samples collected at Richland Creek
decreased from 0.60 ppm to 0.59 ppm (or 0.47 ppm using the revised 5-peak results). Average PCB
concentrations in White Sucker samples collected at Richland Creek decreased from 2.1 ppm to 1.5 ppm
(or 1.2 ppm using the revised 5-peak results). Additional PCB Aroclor results for these fish types and
sampling locations would be needed to determine whether the observed decreases between the August
2001 and November 2002 samples represents a real trend in fish PCB concentrations or are due to random
variation.
PCB congener TEQ concentrations were measured during the November 2002 and May 2003 sampling
events. For Creek Chub samples collected at both Conard's Branch and Richland Creek, the TEQ
concentrations showed a statistically significant increase between these two sampling events. At
Conard's Branch, the average whole fish TEQ concentration increased from 72 parts per trillion (ppt) in
November 2002 to 122 ppt in May 2003. At Richland Creek, the average concentration increased from
7.3 ppt to 20.3 ppt. For Longear Sunfish and White Sucker whole fish samples collected at Richland
Creek, average TEQ concentrations increased slightly between November 2002 and May 2003, but the
increases were not statistically significant. These comparisons involve two sampling events that were
separated only by 6 months. Additional TEQ congener data for these fish types and sampling locations
would be needed to determine whether the observed increases between the November 2002 and May
2003 samples represents a real trend in fish TEQ concentrations or are due to random variation.
As noted in Section 5.1, average Creek Chub TEQ concentrations were much higher in samples collected
at Conard's Branch than in samples collected at Richland Creek. For the November 2002 samples,
average concentrations were about 10 times higher; for the May 2003 samples, average concentrations
were about 5 times higher.
5.3 TREND ANALYSES
Table 7 summarizes trend analysis results. Trend analyses were limited to Creek Chub samples collected
at Conard's Branch during the May 1998 August and November 2002 sampling events. The trend
analysis results indicate ~ statistically significant decreasing trend in whole fish PCB concentrations over
the sampling events included. Sen's Slope Estimator indicates a 2.0 ppm-per-year decrease in PCB
concentrations using the original 4-peak results for the November 2002 samples and a 2.2 ppm-per-year
decrease using the revised 5-peak results for the November 2002 samples.
6.0 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Fish samples were collected by Viacom and EPA at several locations downstream of Neal's Landfill
during four sampling events between May 1998 and May 2003. As discussed in Section 4.0, over 200
samples have been collected and analyzed for PCB concentrations, but not all of these samples can be
included in statistical analyses. The statistical analyses presented in Section 5.0 are limited to whole fish
samples of three fish types (Creek Chub, Longear Sunfish, and White Sucker) collected at two sampling
locations-Conard's Branch (0.5 mile downstream of Neal's Landfill) and Richland Creek (1.0 mile
downstream).
Statistical analyses (both two-sample comparisons and trend analyses) comparing pre-remediation results
from May 1998 with post-remediation results from August 2001 and November 2002 indicate that PCB
Aroclor concentrations in Creek Chub decreased after completion of the 1999 RA. This decrease was
large and statistically significant for samples collected at Conard's Branch, but was small and not
statistically significant for samples collected at Richland Creek.
Results for statistical analyses that evaluated changes in PCB concentrations during the post-remediation
period were ambiguous. In all analyses of PCB Aroclor results, concentrations decreased slightly from
August 2001 to November 2002, but none of the decreases were statistically significant. In all analyses of
PCB congner TEQ results, concentrations increased from November 2002 to May 2003, and the increases
for Creek Chub at both sampling locations were statistically significant.
Future sampling events should focus on collecting data that will support statistical analysis of fish PCB
concentrations during the post-remediation period. Future data must be comparable with past data, and
trio issues significantly affect data comparability. First, target fish types collected at each sampling
location should be consistent with fish types previously collected at each location.
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